Fagiano Okayama 1-4 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Apr 2026

Fagiano Okayama
1-4 HT 0-2
Vissel Kobe
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026

Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
5.08
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.28/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.07
-29% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
23.8 Crosses 20.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.48 xG 1.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
208 Passes 252
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
20.07.2025 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
03.05.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP

Fagiano Okayama 1-4 Vissel Kobe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1-4
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.77 xG 2.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
209 Passes 280
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe ran out comfortable winners over Fagiano Okayama 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vissel Kobe found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 45% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 55%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.77 to 2.34.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 2.00 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?

Fagiano Okayama 1-4 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 36%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5
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