FC Tokyo 0-0 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +3%
1.44/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.00
+6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.3 Crosses 18.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2026 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
16.11.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JPK
09.11.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
22.02.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-1 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
09.11.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
21.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
0-0
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.62 xG 0.76
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
458 Passes 270
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo and Machida Zelvia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 61% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 39%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.62 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.33 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?

FC Tokyo 0-0 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 37%, draw 30%, Machida Zelvia 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Tokyo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Under 2.5
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