Machida Zelvia 0-3 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Apr 2026

📅01/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.37/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.12
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.5 Crosses 14.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
4W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.24 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
258 Passes 376
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JPK
09.11.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
22.02.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-1 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
09.11.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
21.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
0-3
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.03 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
362 Passes 429
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo ran out comfortable winners over Machida Zelvia 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day FC Tokyo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 46% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 54%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.03 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Machida Zelvia and 0.40 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?

Machida Zelvia 0-3 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 01/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 35%, draw 28%, FC Tokyo 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tokyo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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