Machida Zelvia 0-1 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.53
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 36% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
21%
4.33
X/2
10%
7.9
X/X
13%
4.2
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
6%
6.7
2/X
7%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.47/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.34
-1% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.5 Crosses 14.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
3W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Tokyo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.35 xG 1.02
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
243 Passes 410
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-1 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
09.11.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
21.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
0-1
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.92 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
303 Passes 274
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo squeezed past Machida Zelvia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 55% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 45%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.92 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Machida Zelvia and 0.33 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?

Machida Zelvia 0-1 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 51%, draw 27%, FC Tokyo 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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