Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.25
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
24%
4.28
X/2
12%
9.6
X/X
12%
4.97
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
7%
7.77
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.44/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.85
-23% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
25.2 Crosses 15.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
310 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
10.11.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
23.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
13.08.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
31.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
01.10.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-0
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
2.83 xG 0.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
24 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
276 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima ran out comfortable winners over Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 47% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 53%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 2.83 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.33 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49%, draw 26%, Urawa Red Diamonds 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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