Machida Zelvia 2-0 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒07:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
5.38
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.12
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
14%
4.58
X/2
13%
6.98
X/X
14%
3.69
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
13%
5.94
2/X
5%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
3W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.24 xG 0.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
258 Passes 376
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
22.02.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-1 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
09.11.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
21.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
2-0
AWAY FC Tokyo
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia saw off FC Tokyo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 54% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 46%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Machida Zelvia and 0.50 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?

Machida Zelvia 2-0 FC Tokyo in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 44%, draw 26%, FC Tokyo 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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