Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
64%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.61/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.38
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
26.0 Crosses 16.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.59 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
08.06.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
04.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
03.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
14.07.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
13.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.07 xG 0.78
75% Ball Possession 25%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
593 Passes 145
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
32 Box Touches 26
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka nicked a narrow win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Sanfrecce Hiroshima carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 75% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 25%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.07 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.83 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 65%, draw 21%, Avispa Fukuoka 14%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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