Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Avispa Fukuoka — Team-Based Signals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Actual Match Statistics
Avispa Fukuoka nicked a narrow win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. Sanfrecce Hiroshima carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 75% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 25%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.07 to 0.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.83 for Avispa Fukuoka.
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 65%, draw 21%, Avispa Fukuoka 14%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.