Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.25
6+ Goals
11%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.07
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.8
X/1
23%
3.85
X/2
9%
11.05
X/X
13%
4.73
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
12%
10.1
2/X
6%
19.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
2.15/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.88
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +121%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.11 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
316 Passes 264
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
03.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
14.07.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
13.04.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
03.12.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
07.05.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima edged past Avispa Fukuoka 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 49% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 51%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.67 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - League Cup on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%, draw 26%, Avispa Fukuoka 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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