Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.37/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.39
+0% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.97 xG 1.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
284 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-0 HT 2-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
14.07.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 5-0 HT 3-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
25.05.2024 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 1-2 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
30.07.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
22.06.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JPK
18.05.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1-0
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata nicked a narrow win over Shonan Bellmare 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Jubilo Iwata found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 57% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 43%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.67 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - League Cup on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 40%, draw 24%, Shonan Bellmare 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jubilo Iwata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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