Vissel Kobe 2-0 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
5.21
6+ Goals
15%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.38
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
17%
4.0
X/2
11%
9.46
X/X
12%
3.98
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
4%
8.76
2/X
8%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.64/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.00
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
21.8 Crosses 21.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-0
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.51 xG 0.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
237 Passes 165
67% Pass Accuracy 54%
40 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe beat Fagiano Okayama 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 54% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 46%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.51 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Fagiano Okayama?

Vissel Kobe 2-0 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 48%, draw 28%, Fagiano Okayama 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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