Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.5
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.17 — our 41% vs market 38.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.24
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
12%
4.62
X/2
10%
6.71
X/X
14%
3.66
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
11%
5.71
2/X
9%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.7pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.95
+9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.8 Crosses 15.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 0.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
550 Passes 281
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
19.10.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
03.03.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
22.08.2018 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
27.08.2008 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
17.07.2008 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-2 HT 2-2 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
06.07.2005 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-7 HT 0-3 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.39 xG 0.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
469 Passes 353
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds got the better of Tokyo Verdy 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Urawa Red Diamonds made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 55% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 45%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.39 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.00 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy?

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 40%, draw 30%, Tokyo Verdy 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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