Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albirex Niigata v FC Tokyo — Team-Based Signals
Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Tokyo
JAP
2-1
HT 2-1
Albirex Niigata
JAP
3-2
HT 1-0
FC Tokyo
JLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata
JLK
Albirex Niigata 2-3 FC Tokyo — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tokyo edged past Albirex Niigata 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day FC Tokyo made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Albirex Niigata had 53% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 47%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.22 to 1.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.67 for FC Tokyo.
What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo?
Albirex Niigata 2-3 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 37%, draw 29%, FC Tokyo 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.