Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 May 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-3 HT 0-1
Nagoya Grampus
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.76
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
11%
5.24
X/2
9%
5.87
X/X
14%
3.92
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
17%
4.46
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shimizu S-Pulse v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -35%
1.34/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.28
+20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.8 Crosses 16.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
402 Passes 398
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
10.07.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
21.05.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
23.04.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
23.02.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
29.08.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
15.05.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP

Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
0-3
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.89 xG 0.97
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
340 Passes 295
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus ran out comfortable winners over Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Nagoya Grampus found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 53% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 47%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.89 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.17 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?

Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 40%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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