Fagiano Okayama 1-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.02
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
6%
17.8
X/1
9%
8.84
X/2
11%
3.99
X/X
18%
4.24
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.42
2/X
5%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
0.93/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.12
-35% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
20.4 Crosses 26.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.35 xG 1.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
165 Passes 237
54% Pass Accuracy 67%
10 Box Touches 40
15 Crosses 19
03.05.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.61 xG 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
250 Passes 267
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe nicked a narrow win over Fagiano Okayama 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 49% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 51%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.61 to 2.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vissel Kobe's control.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?

Fagiano Okayama 1-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 26%, draw 30%, Vissel Kobe 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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