Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.63
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.33
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
9%
8.01
X/2
9%
4.16
X/X
19%
3.72
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
31%
2.73
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 52%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.11/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.84
-11% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +84%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
14.4 Crosses 22.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.83 xG 1.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 251
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
14.07.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-1 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
19.05.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 5-0 HT 2-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
09.07.2023 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-2 HT 2-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
13.05.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-1 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
18.09.2022 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-2 HT 1-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0-1
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.79 xG 0.48
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
557 Passes 202
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia squeezed past Tokyo Verdy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 70% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 30%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.79 to 0.48 — on chances, Tokyo Verdy could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.83 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia?

Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 22%, draw 30%, Machida Zelvia 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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