Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tokyo Verdy v Machida Zelvia — Team-Based Signals
Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
0-1
HT 0-1
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
2-2
HT 1-1
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
2-1
HT 1-0
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
0-1
HT 0-0
Machida Zelvia
JAP2
Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Machida Zelvia — Actual Match Statistics
Machida Zelvia edged past Tokyo Verdy 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 58% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 42%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.39 to 0.66 — on chances, Tokyo Verdy could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 2.00 for Machida Zelvia.
What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia?
Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 28%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.