Albirex Niigata 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
52%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
9.72
1/2
4%
23.3
1/X
8%
18.25
X/1
7%
11.55
X/2
22%
4.0
X/X
10%
5.52
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
1.96
2/X
5%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-8.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 64%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.30/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.95
+20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
13.9 Crosses 27.2
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.91 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
351 Passes 406
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
26.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
03.05.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
01.07.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-0 HT 2-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
26.02.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 0-2 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
09.09.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
0-2
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.36 xG 2.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
421 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima saw off Albirex Niigata 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 55% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 45%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.36 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Albirex Niigata and 0.50 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Albirex Niigata 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 25%, draw 23%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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