Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
4.09
6+ Goals
7%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 36% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.07
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
15%
5.76
X/2
11%
5.61
X/X
18%
4.18
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
18%
3.89
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.6pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -24%
1.38/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.21
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.6 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 1.84
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
449 Passes 225
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
08.12.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
13.10.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
09.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 HT 1-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
30.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
08.07.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3-0
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.42 xG 0.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
247 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos cruised past Nagoya Grampus 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Yokohama F. Marinos made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 44% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 56%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.42 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 2.00 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus?

Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 33%, draw 31%, Nagoya Grampus 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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