Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 13 Oct 2024

Nagoya Grampus
1-2
Yokohama F. Marinos
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - League Cup – 2024

Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.34
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
14%
5.68
X/2
9%
6.06
X/X
11%
5.39
2/1 EV+
9%
24.45
2/2
16%
3.66
2/X
10%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nagoya Grampus v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 39%
+24% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.28/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.51
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.09 xG 1.72
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
240 Passes 490
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 HT 1-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
30.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
08.07.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.04.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
01.10.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-4 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.05.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 1-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP

Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1-2
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos edged past Nagoya Grampus 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Yokohama F. Marinos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 34% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 66%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.83 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - League Cup on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 40%, draw 28%, Yokohama F. Marinos 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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