Kawasaki Frontale 0-2 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.31
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.4
X/2
7%
8.43
X/X
7%
6.05
2/1 EV+
9%
20.5
2/2
15%
5.63
2/X
10%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -30%
1.48/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.79
-27% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.61 xG 1.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
374 Passes 546
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.10.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 4-1 HT 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
27.09.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 5-1 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
22.06.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-2 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
29.09.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-3 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
30.08.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-2 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JPK
11.03.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-0 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
0-2
AWAY Albirex Niigata
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata got the better of Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 59% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 41%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 2.17 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata?

Kawasaki Frontale 0-2 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - League Cup on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 50%, draw 23%, Albirex Niigata 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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