Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.41
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
9%
5.15
X/2
12%
6.23
X/X
11%
4.34
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
17%
4.58
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.55
-12% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
14.7 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 1.11
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
203 Passes 479
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
13.10.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
09.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 HT 1-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
30.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
08.07.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.04.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
2.32 xG 0.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
24 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
265 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus beat Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Nagoya Grampus made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 44% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 56%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.32 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.17 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 38%, draw 26%, Yokohama F. Marinos 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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