Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.99
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
10%
13.45
X/1
14%
5.62
X/2
11%
5.69
X/X
11%
4.06
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
18%
4.06
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 38%
-20% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -13%
1.22/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.23
-28% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
307 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
20.3 Crosses 16.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.63 xG 1.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
221 Passes 235
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-2 HT 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
25.02.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
06.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
29.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
06.08.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
18.05.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.86 xG 0.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
415 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga and Kashiwa Reysol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 59% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 41%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.86 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.17 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyoto Sanga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 37%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kyoto Sanga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyoto Sanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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