Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.33
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
22%
4.33
X/2
11%
9.15
X/X
7%
4.89
2/1
8%
24.2
2/2
11%
7.36
2/X
9%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.77/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.55
+38% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
456 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.2 Crosses 16.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.67 xG 0.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
332 Passes 285
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
24.02.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-2 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
24.09.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-2 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
18.06.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-3 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
26.03.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
04.03.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2-0
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
2.76 xG 0.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 3
354 Passes 331
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale beat Shonan Bellmare 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 52% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 48%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.76 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 0.83 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Shonan Bellmare?

Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 48%, draw 25%, Shonan Bellmare 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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