Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.36
1/2
11%
24.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
8%
7.38
X/2
16%
4.48
X/X
9%
4.88
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.67
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 51%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -16%
1.19/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.86
-35% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 82%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
21.3 Crosses 13.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 382
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-2 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
18.06.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-3 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
26.03.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
04.03.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
03.09.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
25.05.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-4 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-2
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
0.36 xG 1.02
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
251 Passes 438
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale squeezed past Shonan Bellmare 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 40% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 60%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.36 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.17 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 29%, draw 25%, Kawasaki Frontale 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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