Cerezo Osaka 2-2 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
17%
4.72
X/2
7%
6.21
X/X
16%
4.06
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
12%
4.78
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.30/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.13
-22% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.8 Crosses 14.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.08.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
24.05.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JLK
15.04.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
08.03.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
12.10.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
06.03.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
2-2
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.37 xG 1.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
336 Passes 216
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka and FC Tokyo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cerezo Osaka at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 60% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 40%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.37 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.17 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

Cerezo Osaka 2-2 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 43%, draw 32%, FC Tokyo 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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