Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.74
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
11%
4.85
X/2
12%
7.32
X/X
9%
5.08
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
13%
4.9
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.42/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.33
+0% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
16.3 Crosses 17.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
391 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-2 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
24.09.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-2 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
18.06.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-3 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
26.03.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
04.03.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
03.09.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1-1
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
2.60 xG 0.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
25 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
349 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
47 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale and Shonan Bellmare couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 54% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 46%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.60 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.00 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Shonan Bellmare?

Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 44%, draw 25%, Shonan Bellmare 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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