Jubilo Iwata 3-0 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.05
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
15%
5.49
X/2
17%
5.25
X/X
9%
4.0
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
13%
3.79
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.26/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.34
+22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +143%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.9 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 3.08
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 3-2 HT 2-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
28.10.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
03.05.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
20.07.2022 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JPK
14.08.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-1 HT 1-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
23.05.2021 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-2 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
3-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.32 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
307 Passes 353
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata cruised past Tokyo Verdy 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Jubilo Iwata found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 48% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 52%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.32 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.17 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Tokyo Verdy?

Jubilo Iwata 3-0 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 37%, draw 26%, Tokyo Verdy 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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