Kashima Antlers 0-0 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.8
X/1
20%
4.3
X/2
12%
7.43
X/X
10%
4.21
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
11%
5.89
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.36/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.35
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.7 Crosses 15.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.89 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
342 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-2 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
24.06.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
29.04.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 4-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
05.11.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
13.07.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JPK
18.05.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-3 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
0-0
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.04 xG 0.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 429
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers and Gamba Osaka played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kashima Antlers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 43% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 57%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.04 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.67 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka?

Kashima Antlers 0-0 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 43%, draw 28%, Gamba Osaka 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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