FC Tokyo 1-0 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 31% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
17%
4.51
X/2
10%
7.71
X/X
11%
4.89
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
11%
5.53
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.66/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.52
+7% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
18.3 Crosses 16.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.66 xG 1.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
319 Passes 444
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
25.11.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-3 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
06.05.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 5-1 HT 3-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
06.07.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-0 HT 2-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
16.04.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
05.09.2021 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
1-0
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.10 xG 0.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
377 Passes 252
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo squeezed past Consadole Sapporo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Tokyo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 58% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.10 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Tokyo's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.50 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Consadole Sapporo?

FC Tokyo 1-0 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 47%, draw 26%, Consadole Sapporo 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tokyo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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