Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerezo Osaka v Sagan Tosu — Team-Based Signals
Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Cerezo Osaka
JAP
2-1
HT 1-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
2-1
HT 0-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerezo Osaka
JAP
1-0
HT 1-0
Sagan Tosu
JPK
Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Sagan Tosu — Actual Match Statistics
Cerezo Osaka nicked a narrow win over Sagan Tosu 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 45% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 55%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.39 to 1.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 0.83 for Sagan Tosu.
What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu?
Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J1 League on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 49%, draw 27%, Sagan Tosu 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.