Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.46
2-3 Goals
43%
2.02
4-5 Goals
22%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
8%
5.07
X/2
12%
10.2
X/X
7%
6.84
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
15%
6.55
2/X
8%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.5pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.92/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.04
+19% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +37%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.6 Crosses 17.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.77 xG 1.29
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
494 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
09.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 HT 1-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
30.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
08.07.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.04.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
01.10.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-4 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
0-2
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.32 xG 1.82
72% Ball Possession 28%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
542 Passes 143
85% Pass Accuracy 61%
37 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus saw off Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 72% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 28%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.32 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.50 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus?

Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 46%, draw 21%, Nagoya Grampus 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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