FC Tokyo 3-0 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 32% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.13
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
9%
14.8
X/1
17%
6.15
X/2
11%
6.21
X/X
14%
5.02
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
17%
4.19
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.27/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.33
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.5 Crosses 18.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 360
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
06.08.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
24.05.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JLK
15.04.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
08.03.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
12.10.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
3-0
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.83 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
321 Passes 449
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 34
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo swept aside Cerezo Osaka 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day FC Tokyo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 43% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 57%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.83 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Tokyo and 0.83 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?

FC Tokyo 3-0 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 38%, draw 29%, Cerezo Osaka 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tokyo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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