Vissel Kobe 3-0 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.37
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
23.85
X/1
21%
3.95
X/2
7%
19.95
X/X
9%
8.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
7%
15.9
2/X
6%
24.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.98/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.02
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
25.9 Crosses 14.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.54 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
346 Passes 254
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
28.10.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
29.04.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
12.10.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
21.05.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
03.07.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-1 HT 2-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
3-0
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
2.92 xG 0.06
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
174 Passes 362
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe ran out comfortable winners over Shonan Bellmare 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 39% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 61%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 2.92 to 0.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vissel Kobe and 0.67 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Shonan Bellmare?

Vissel Kobe 3-0 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 59%, draw 22%, Shonan Bellmare 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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