Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.35
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
11%
7.99
X/2
19%
5.5
X/X
13%
5.51
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.13
2/X
7%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.23/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.92
-10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
17.5 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.19 xG 1.84
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
525 Passes 253
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
30.09.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
02.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JPK
03.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 4-5 HT 2-3 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
16.07.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
25.05.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-6 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1-0
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.41 xG 0.90
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
354 Passes 227
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo edged past Kashiwa Reysol 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 59% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 41%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.41 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 2.67 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 30%, draw 26%, Kashiwa Reysol 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
8 Dec 2024
08:00 FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Vissel Kobe vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →
08:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →
08:00 Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
08:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →