Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Dec 2024

Kawasaki Frontale
3-1 HT 2-0
Avispa Fukuoka
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 31% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.85
X/1
19%
4.28
X/2 EV+ ✗
12%
12.05
X/X
15%
6.07
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
9%
9.46
2/X
5%
18.8
Value flag · X/2 at 12.05 — our 12% vs market 6.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kawasaki Frontale v Avispa Fukuoka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +21%
2.01/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.18
+35% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
470 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.2 Crosses 18.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 1.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
518 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
20.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
08.10.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JPK
29.04.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
20.08.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-4 HT 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
14.05.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP

Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.33 xG 1.37
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
493 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale beat Avispa Fukuoka 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 61% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 39%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.33 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.17 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 48%, draw 24%, Avispa Fukuoka 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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