Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
55%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.21
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
10%
10.1
X/2
23%
3.77
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.11
2/X
5%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
20%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
55%
Away Win
56%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.3pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 60%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.09/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.99
-19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +80%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
19.1 Crosses 27.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.58
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
254 Passes 376
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
29.04.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
12.10.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
21.05.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
03.07.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-1 HT 2-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
17.04.2021 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
0-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.79 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 10
252 Passes 278
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe squeezed past Shonan Bellmare 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 49% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 51%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.79 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.33 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe?

Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 22%, draw 23%, Vissel Kobe 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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