Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Apr 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds
0-1 HT 0-0
Gamba Osaka
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
18%
4.25
X/2
7%
7.69
X/X
10%
4.53
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.98
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Urawa Red Diamonds v Gamba Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -19%
1.82/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.49
+23% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.5 Crosses 16.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.46 xG 0.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
435 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-3 HT 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JLK
06.09.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
14.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1 HT 1-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
02.07.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-1 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
26.02.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP

Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 Gamba Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
0-1
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.77 xG 0.23
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
608 Passes 329
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka squeezed past Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red Diamonds at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 63% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 37%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.77 to 0.23 — on chances, Urawa Red Diamonds could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.67 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka?

Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 52%, draw 25%, Gamba Osaka 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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