Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.56
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.28
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.47
X/2
9%
6.3
X/X
17%
3.61
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
19%
5.29
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.28/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.24
-27% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
23.2 Crosses 22.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 0.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
239 Passes 490
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.07.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
13.04.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
26.03.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
19.02.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
01.11.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-1 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
15.07.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
2-2
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
0.61 xG 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
393 Passes 219
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka and Jubilo Iwata shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 60% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 40%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 0.83 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Jubilo Iwata?

Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J1 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 38%, draw 29%, Jubilo Iwata 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
20 Apr 2024
08:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →
08:00 Sagan Tosu vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
08:00 Consadole Sapporo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
09:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
10:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →
10:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy Analysis →