Consadole Sapporo 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Apr 2024

Consadole Sapporo
1-1 HT 1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Consadole Sapporo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.68
No
60%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 33% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.29
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
7%
8.66
X/2
17%
4.19
X/X
11%
5.38
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.31
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.1pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Consadole Sapporo v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.22/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.89
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
17.6 Crosses 23.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3

Consadole Sapporo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
330 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
18.02.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
29.10.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 1-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
11.06.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
04.06.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-3 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
26.02.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP

Consadole Sapporo 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.45 xG 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
376 Passes 363
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 40
5 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 50% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 50%, shots finished 5-22, expected goals 0.45 to 2.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 1.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Consadole Sapporo 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 26%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
20 Apr 2024
08:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →
08:00 Sagan Tosu vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
09:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Jubilo Iwata Analysis →
09:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
10:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →
10:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy Analysis →