Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.67
Over 2.5
55%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.37
6+ Goals
11%
22.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.37 — our 25% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.82
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
16%
4.3
X/2
10%
7.12
X/X
12%
4.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
2/2
9%
5.71
2/X
9%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-11.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+11.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.34/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.66
+2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
378 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
16.7 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
0-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.07 xG 1.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
388 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale and Tokyo Verdy fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 59% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 41%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.07 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy?

Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 49%, draw 27%, Tokyo Verdy 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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