Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.12
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
12%
5.57
X/2
19%
5.14
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.68
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 40%
-26% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.28/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.24
-25% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.9 Crosses 15.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
244 Passes 486
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
11.06.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-3 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
17.07.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
23.05.2021 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
10.10.2020 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
19.08.2020 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-1 HT 0-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
0-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata
0.66 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
270 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata squeezed past Kyoto Sanga 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Albirex Niigata made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 47% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 53%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.66 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.00 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Albirex Niigata?

Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 35%, draw 26%, Albirex Niigata 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albirex Niigata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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