Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Albirex Niigata — Team-Based Signals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JAP
1-2
HT 0-2
Albirex Niigata
JAP
0-0
HT 0-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JAP
0-1
HT 0-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JLK
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Albirex Niigata — Actual Match Statistics
Albirex Niigata edged past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 51% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 49%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.88 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.00 for Albirex Niigata.
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Albirex Niigata?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%, draw 30%, Albirex Niigata 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.