FC Tokyo 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒07:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.98
6+ Goals
12%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.07
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
11%
5.83
X/2
14%
5.62
X/X
13%
4.23
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
13%
3.85
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.35/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.22
+15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
16.3 Crosses 17.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 0.98
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 375
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
07.08.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-2 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
25.05.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
03.11.2021 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 4-0 HT 3-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
26.05.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
14.10.2020 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-1 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
23.02.2020 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
0-2
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.36 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
337 Passes 276
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse saw off FC Tokyo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Shimizu S-Pulse found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 55% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 45%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.36 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.17 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

FC Tokyo 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 37%, draw 28%, Shimizu S-Pulse 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Tokyo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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