Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.53
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.71
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
18%
5.02
X/2
10%
5.99
X/X
14%
3.61
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.87
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
1.25/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.20
-10% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
15.0 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.58 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
303 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.07.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
09.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
05.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
16.03.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
03.12.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
30.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1-2
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.79 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
325 Passes 366
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol squeezed past Nagoya Grampus 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Kashiwa Reysol found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 50% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 50%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.79 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.83 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 39%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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