Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.31
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.24
X/2
13%
6.0
X/X
11%
4.89
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.0
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.05
Value flag · 2/X at 13.05 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.21/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.15
-17% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.0 Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
440 Passes 380
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.06.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
24.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
23.04.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
05.04.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
30.07.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1 HT 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
02.03.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3-1
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.58 xG 0.90
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 11
322 Passes 525
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale saw off Urawa Red Diamonds 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Kawasaki Frontale made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 40% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 60%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.58 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.33 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 38%, draw 30%, Urawa Red Diamonds 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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