Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.11
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.2
X/1
15%
4.31
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
9.86
X/X
10%
5.81
2/1
9%
21.05
2/2
11%
7.45
2/X
8%
15.7
Value flag · X/2 at 9.86 — our 15% vs market 7.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.93/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.30
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.7 Crosses 16.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.67 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 Passes 474
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
03.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
14.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
05.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.05.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
02.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.67 xG 0.64
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
528 Passes 214
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol edged past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 67% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 33%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.67 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 0.83 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 48%, draw 22%, Yokohama F. Marinos 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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