Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.33
Over 2.5
43%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
17%
7.91
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.02
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.5
X/1
11%
4.82
X/2
11%
5.58
X/X
14%
3.11
2/1
11%
35.0
2/2
13%
4.99
2/X
7%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
72%
-14.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
28%
+14.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -20%
0.92/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.17
-22% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.4 Crosses 16.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Yokohama FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.02 xG 0.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 Passes 318
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2025 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
12.08.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
01.04.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
07.11.2021 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
26.05.2021 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
01.11.2015 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 4-0 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-0
AWAY Yokohama FC
1.48 xG 0.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
251 Passes 210
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka nicked a narrow win over Yokohama FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avispa Fukuoka as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 52% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 48%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.48 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 0.67 for Yokohama FC.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Yokohama FC in the Japan - J1 League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 41%, draw 27%, Yokohama FC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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