Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Machida Zelvia — Team-Based Signals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Machida Zelvia — Actual Match Statistics
Sanfrecce Hiroshima nicked a narrow win over Machida Zelvia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 69% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 31%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.49 to 0.75.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.67 for Machida Zelvia.
What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%, draw 24%, Machida Zelvia 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.