Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.1
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
12%
7.01
X/2
18%
4.9
X/X
11%
4.68
2/1
11%
34.0
2/2
16%
2.93
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.8pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.18/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.14
-22% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.1 Crosses 21.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.84 xG 1.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
292 Passes 273
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
28.09.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
01.06.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
12.11.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
11.03.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
26.06.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.91 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
294 Passes 325
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds nicked a narrow win over Vissel Kobe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 49% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 51%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 0.91 to 1.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vissel Kobe.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.67 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Vissel Kobe?

Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 34%, draw 25%, Vissel Kobe 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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