Vissel Kobe 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 32% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
12%
3.88
X/2
9%
10.4
X/X
16%
5.14
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
10%
8.22
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.65/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.80
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.0 Crosses 15.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
322 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
12.11.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
11.03.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
26.06.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
23.02.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-2 HT 2-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
02.10.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 5-1 HT 3-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
1-0
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.19 xG 0.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
287 Passes 275
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe nicked a narrow win over Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 49% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 51%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.19 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.17 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Vissel Kobe 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 46%, draw 29%, Urawa Red Diamonds 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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